Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 130.116782 150.608017 174.582336 205.041750 243.204049 290.116787 3.532424e+02
2025-03-16 99.834167 123.920326 155.050002 199.368448 262.843699 353.915066 5.015778e+02
2025-03-23 87.496871 113.692003 149.885881 205.720836 294.092065 437.554491 7.112585e+02
2025-03-30 75.226982 100.744646 137.618353 197.762675 300.093220 482.637903 8.806739e+02
2025-04-06 68.464579 94.273431 133.160845 200.073384 322.395347 563.072148 1.172074e+03
2025-04-13 62.445166 87.926686 127.648517 199.109281 338.066518 636.654806 1.508894e+03
2025-04-20 59.678526 86.109178 128.889749 209.835359 379.022950 784.004794 2.215684e+03
2025-04-27 58.158915 85.997750 132.811300 226.164894 437.099084 1008.094994 3.577226e+03
2025-05-04 54.204535 81.390682 128.225289 224.848472 454.817652 1133.385931 4.815707e+03
2025-05-11 51.286492 78.206674 125.732905 227.276239 482.601510 1311.131850 6.959661e+03
2025-05-18 48.071704 74.185339 121.176447 224.398294 495.761196 1449.981946 9.509003e+03
2025-05-25 46.132444 72.217145 120.248381 229.392528 532.775704 1717.770938 1.546358e+04
2025-06-01 43.580738 69.241881 117.643993 231.670640 568.556396 2053.964933 2.870019e+04
2025-06-08 40.366265 64.810728 111.714749 225.131477 575.710863 2274.745987 4.833636e+04
2025-06-15 38.805640 63.278206 111.449426 232.616977 634.420569 2910.046715 1.558461e+05
2025-06-22 36.003900 59.130119 105.192634 223.224625 628.108465 3110.535761 3.218439e+05
2025-06-29 34.451666 57.249306 103.554323 225.949722 670.840357 3817.899676 2.778914e+06
2025-07-06 32.762891 54.952420 100.731131 224.812446 698.023487 4496.014119 1.227738e+10
2025-07-13 32.162427 54.752364 102.539861 237.483881 795.427407 6435.913280 NaN
2025-07-20 31.959202 55.326769 106.192275 256.851745 944.031672 10494.863875 NaN
2025-07-27 30.547832 53.286603 103.432671 255.287031 981.339764 12955.316175 NaN
2025-08-03 29.487436 51.899009 102.091866 258.173154 1048.883416 17461.918268 NaN
2025-08-10 28.190310 49.915058 99.078944 254.752077 1075.903428 21401.668161 NaN